Guilty Pleas
Current Research Projects
The Role of Communication in Plea Bargaining and Plea Decision-Making
In this project, we test how defense attorney's competing professional motivations and the plea "telephone" game might impact the plea process and ultimate plea decision. Study 1 is an experimental survey with actual defense attorneys who have been prompted to either do their best for the hypothetical client or maintain a good relationship with the hypothetical prosecutor before reviewing discovery and presenting the plea offer to their client. Study 2 will involve an experimental hypothetical plea negotiation paradigm with mock defense attorneys and mock defendants. This project is Mary Catlin’s doctoral dissertation research and is funded by the American Academy of Forensic Psychology (AAFP) and the Association of Doctoral Programs in Criminology and Criminal Justice (ADPCCJ).
​
Examining the Impact of Evidence Strength and Extra-legal Factors on Plea Discounts
In this study, we seek to compare the impact of evidence strength and extra-legal factors on the size of the sentencing discount received by plea bargaining defendants. Rational models of plea decision-making (i.e., the shadow of the trial model) suggest that the size of the plea discount should directly relate to the strength of the case against the defendant, where stronger evidence leads to decreased discounts. However, others have suggested that sentencing decisions may be shaped by stereotypes related to the perceived dangerousness of the defendant, which may include considerations of race, age, and sex. To explore these possibilities we use administrative court data from the state of Virginia to develop a regression model that provides highly accurate trial sentence predictions. We then apply the coefficients from this model to a sample of plea bargainers whose plea hearings were observed and coded for the presence of various types of case evidence. Using the observed plea sentence and predicted trial sentence for these defendants we construct an estimated plea discount and regress this discount on evidence strength and extra-legal variables.
​
Petersen, K., Redlich, A. D., & Wilson, D. B. (2022). Discount for who? Comparing the effects of evidence and demographic characteristics on plea discounts. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 18, 321-342.
​
Investigating and Addressing Racial and Ethnic Disparity in Prosecution and Punishment: A Multi-Site Analysis
This project is in collaboration with Professor Brian Johnson (PI; University of Maryland) and Professor Miranda Galvin (Towson University) and funded by Arnold Ventures. There are three research questions: 1) How does the broad exercise of prosecutorial discretion relate to patterns of racial inequality in the justice system?; 2) Are racial disparities generated through similar discretionary processes across jurisdictions?; and 3) To what extent are patterns of disparity driven by crime severity? Questions will be addressed by examining the severity and number of initial charges, the magnitude and type of charge reductions, which cases are dismissed (and, when possible, why), and whether and how these processes vary by defendant race and ethnicity. In addition, the project team will examine various types of alternative/diversionary dispositions, such as the use of Probation before Judgment, a common diversion option that sidesteps the collateral consequences of a conviction, and explore racial differences in guilty pleas and plea discounts, and final sentences. We are collaborating with three States' Attorneys Offices in Maryland.
​
Understanding Youth Engagement in the Plea Process
In collaboration with Dr. Jodi Quas at the University of California, Irvine, we researched youth and adult engagement in the plea process. In the first phase of this research, we surveyed legal professionals (i.e., prosecutors, defense attorneys, judges, and guardians ad litem) about their perceptions of juvenile defendants’ engagement in the plea process, including the juvenile’s legal understanding of and participation in the plea process. In the second phase of this project, we conducted systematic observations of juvenile and adult plea hearings and interviewed defendants soon after the hearing. In this phase, we assessed juveniles' and adults' engagement in the plea process, including how much defendants understand about the process and how much they participate in the proceedings. The final phase of the study, which is currently underway, involves a one-year post-hearing follow-up of objective records to determine if engagement in plea hearings predicts future recidivism and court-related compliance. This project is funded by the National Science Foundation and the National Institute of Justice.
Redlich, A.D., Domagalski, K., Woestehoff, S., Dezember, A., & Quas, J.A. (2022). Describing and comparing plea hearings in juvenile and criminal court. Law and Human Behavior, 46, 337-352.
​
Dezember, A., Luna, S., Woestehoff, S., Stoltz, M., Manley, M., Quas, J.A, & Redlich, A.D. (2022). Plea validity in circuit court: Judicial colloquies in misdemeanor vs. felony charges. Psychology, Crime, & Law, 28, 268-288.
Woestehoff, S., Redlich, A.D., Cathcart, E., & Quas, J. (2019). Legal professionals’ perceptions of juvenile engagement in the plea process. Translational Issues in Psychological Science, 5, 121-131.
​
Past Research Projects
Defining Coercion During Plea Negotiations
FUNDING AGENCY: National Science Foundation through Arizona State University; PI: Samantha Luna
In this project, we test a theoretical definition of coercion during plea negotiations that was developed by synthesizing philosophical, legal, and psychological theory, and examining third party assessments of plea coercion claims. Study 1 used an experimental plea negotiation study with defendant participants negotiating with mock, confederate prosecutors and defense attorneys in theoretically coercive and non-coercive situations. Study 2 involved third party observers either watching a recorded plea negotiation in its entirety or watching summarized oral arguments about a theoretically coercive or non-coercive plea negotiation, and then evaluating defendants’ post-sentencing requests to withdraw their plea. This project was Samantha Luna’s doctoral dissertation research.
Publications
Luna, S. (2022). Defining coercion: An application in interrogation and plea negotiation contexts. Psychology, Public Policy, and Law.
Examining Alford Pleas and the Presumption of Strong Evidence
FUNDING AGENCY: National Science Foundation; PI: Amy Dezember
In this study, we investigated Alford please by comparing Alford pleas to traditional guilty pleas. Furthermore, we investigated differences in processing, outcome and evidence strength. Finally, we looked at how the strength of evidence factors into the process of offer, negotiating, and accepting Alford pleas used a mixed methods approach.
Publications
Dezember, A. (2021). Examining Alford pleas and the presumption of strong evidence (Unpublished doctoral dissertation). George Mason University, Fairfax, VA.
​
​
Explaining Individual-level from plea bargaining in the "Shadow of the Trial"
Project Researchers: Kevin Petersen, Allison Redlich, Robert Norris
In this study, we explored the factors that may help to explain deviation from the shadow of the trial model of plea bargaining. We examined whether deviation from this model was associated with differing levels of probability of conviction and maximum sentence at trial (the two core components of the shadow model). We also examined whether the odds of deviating from the model were related to the level of numeracy, or mathematical ability, of the individual making the plea decision.
Publications
Petersen, K., Redlich, A.D., & Norris, R. (2022). Diverging from the shadows: Explaining individual deviation from plea bargaining in the “Shadow of Trial.” Journal of Experimental Criminology, 18, 321-342.
​
​
The Influence of Discovery on True and False Guilty Plea Offers and Decisions
FUNDING AGENCY: Charles Koch Foundation; PI: Allison Redlich
Project Researcher: Samantha Luna
This was a two-phase study. In phase I, we investigated mock prosecutors’ decisions to turn over discovery information and their subsequent plea offers. In phase II, we examined mock guilty and innocent defendants' decisions to plead guilty, and whether their decisions were affected by how much discovery was provided to them.
Publications
Luna, S. & Redlich, A.D. (2021). Unintelligent decision-making? The impact of discovery on defendant plea decisions. Wrongful Conviction Law Review.
Luna, S. & Redlich, A.D. (2020). The decision to provide discovery: An examination of policies and guilty pleas. Journal of Experimental Criminology.
Bargaining in the Shadow of the Trial: Exploring the Reach of Evidence Outside the Jury Box
FUNDING AGENCY: The National Institute of Justice
Co-PI: Shawn Bushway; Project Researchers: Robert Norris and Shi Yan
This was a two-phase study. In Phase I, we manipulated the presence and combination of three evidence forms and the prior criminal history of the defendant in hypothetical case scenarios administered to national samples of judges, prosecutors, and defense attorneys. In Phase II, we partnered with two county DA offices to code the evidentiary and non-evidentiary factors in actual criminal case files.
Publications
Redlich, A.D., Yan, S., Norris, R.J., & Bushway, S.D. (2018). The influence of confessions in guilty pleas and plea discounts.
Psychology, Public Policy, and the Law, 24, 147-157.
Redlich, A.D., Bushway, S., & Norris, R. (2016). Plea decision-making by attorneys and judges: The impact of legal and extra-
legal factors. Journal of Experimental Criminology.
Bushway, S., Redlich, A.D., & Norris, R. (2014). An explicit test of plea bargaining in the “shadow of the trial”. Criminology, 52, 723-754.
Creating and Transferring Knowledge on Guilty Pleas
FUNDING AGENCY: The National Science Foundation
Project Researchers: Catherine Bonventre, Reveka Shteynberg
This was also a two-phase project. In the first phase, state and county-level tender-of-plea forms were obtained, and subjected to detailed content and comprehensibility analyses. In the second phase, a laboratory study involving youth and young adults was conducted. Guilt/innocence and jail time were manipulated. The primary dependent variables were willingness to accept a plea, and plea rationales.
Publications
Redlich, A. D. & Shteynberg, R. (2016). To plead or not to plead: A comparison of juvenile and adult true and false plea decisions.
Law and Human Behavior.
Redlich, A.D. & Bonventre, C. (2015). Content and comprehensibility of adult and juvenile tender-of-plea forms: Implications for
knowing, intelligent, and voluntary guilty pleas. Law and Human Behavior, 39, 162-176.